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Hurricane Center tracks potential Gulf system for July 4th weekend

The National Hurricane Center is tracking a possible weather system that could develop near the Southeast U.S. during the July 4th weekend.
NHC

The National Hurricane Center issued a tropical weather outlook Monday morning identifying an area of potential concern off the southeastern United States coast. According to the 2 a.m. EDT outlook, a frontal boundary is expected to stall and weaken off the southeast U.S. coast late this week.

  • An area of low pressure could develop from the weakening front by next weekend off the southeast U.S., over Florida, or over the eastern Gulf of Mexico. Some gradual tropical or subtropical development could occur as the low-pressure system moves little, according to the hurricane center.

The formation chance through 48 hours remains low at near 0 percent, while the formation chance through seven days is also low at 20 percent.

Okaloosa County Director of Public Safety Patrick Maddox addressed the potential weather development in an email Sunday. “We continue to monitor the yellow-hatched area below for development potential in the July 4-7 timeframe,” Maddox wrote.

  • “As of now, 0% through 48 hrs., 20% through 7 days. Nothing to get too excited about at the moment,” Maddox said in the email.

Maddox emphasized the uncertainty of long-range forecasting. “The reality is, it’s just too far out to predict with any real certainty, so we monitor and prepare, as always,” he wrote.

Meanwhile, the National Hurricane Center continues issuing advisories on recently downgraded Tropical Depression Barry, which is located inland over eastern Mexico.

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“Great coverage and extremely informative from John Hofstad. Be glad he gives you A heads up and is pro active. Our County Executive does none of That.”
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“my hope is that someway that chair can be traced to the owner who needs to see that picture”
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“😢This is so sad. After seeing all that the Gulfarium does to rehabilitate other turtles, this is frustrating.”
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Michael Cobb commented on WordroW: June 18, 2026
“4:00”
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“Thank you for your opinion, Mr. Chambers. I will not be voting for the three candidates you recommended. It’s interesting how you have spent years making sure students are held...”
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Scott Schaeffler commented on WordroW: June 18, 2026
“1:22, 4 attempts”
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“I sure hope he will change the hunting regulations and let us hunt during the week days this year.”
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